Covid third wave may hit India next month: SBI Report

India may witness the third covid wave from August 2021. The report – COVID-19: The race to finishing line – prepared by SBI Research, claims that the covid third wave peak will arrive in the month of September 2021.

The research report says that India achieved its second wave peak on 7th May. “Going by the current data, India can experience cases around10,000 somewhere around the 2nd week of July. However, the cases can start rising by the second fortnight of August,” the report said.

Significantly, the report said global experience shows that countries with high per capita GDP have been associated with higher Covid-19 deaths per million, while low per capita countries are associated with low Covid-19 deaths, showing that high-income countries suffered more during the pandemic

Indian experience shows that states with high per capita GDP have been associated with higher Covid-19 deaths per million while low per capita GDP are associated with low Covid-19 deaths.

Bihar, Jharkhand, Uttar Pradesh, Assam, Odisha and Rajasthan all have low per capita income and low deaths per million. At the same time, Maharashtra, Uttarakhand, Kerala, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu and Himachal Pradesh have high per capita income and high deaths per million.

The report said certain states like Rajasthan, Delhi, Himachal Pradesh, Kerala and Uttarakhand have already given vaccine double dose to a larger percentage of the population above 60 years. Total vaccine doses as a percentage of the population above 60 years are more than 100 per cent for these states, implying double dose to many.

What will make India’s ZyCoV-D a Global first COVID vaccine. Certain states like Gujarat, Karnataka, Kerala, Andhra Pradesh, Uttarakhand and Rajasthan have vaccinated a greater proportion of the rural population when compared to others.

India Covid-19 tally

India saw a single-day rise of 39,796 new Covid infections, which took the tally of cases to 3,05,85,229, while the death toll climbed to 4,02,728 with 723 more fatalities, according to the Union Health Ministry. The active cases have further declined to 4,82,071.